Selected Determinants of Demographic Safety


Abstract

The article presents, in a simplifi ed manner, selected theories of population to explain the current trends of population development in Poland and throughout the world. The aim of the article is to present the demographic threats that have emerged in the last eighty years. Prognosticated age structures have also been predicted. Signifi cant diff erences between the structure of the population now and the future have been indicated, particularly regarding the ageing of the population. Against the background of global transformations analyzes of changes in Poland have been conducted. The comparison shows that changes in Poland are highly analogous to transformations around the world, such as declining birth rates and increasing life expectancy. These changes cause ageing of the population, which could result in the collapse of the functioning of the labor market and the pension system as it currently exists.

Keywords

Demography; Demographic transformation; Age diversity; Elderly people

Cieślak, M. (1992). Demografia. Metody analizy i prognozowania. Warszawa: Wyd. Nauk. PWN.

Demografia (n.d.). Retrieved from: https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demografia.
Drugie przejście demograficzne (n.d.). Retrieved from: www.mojasociologia.pl/drugie przejście demograficzne.

ESA, n.d., https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Demographic Profiles/.

Kośny, M. (2013). Determinanty bezpieczeństwa ekonomicznego rodzin. Wrocław: Wyd. UE we Wrocławiu.

Lesthaeghe, R. J. (2010). The Unfolding Story of the Second Demographic Transition. Popul. Dev. Rev., 36(2). Retrieved from: http://www.psc.isr.umich.edu/pubs/pdf/rr10-696.pdf

Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., Behrens III, W. W. (1973). Granice wzrostu. Warszawa: PWE.

Ostasiewicz, S. (2003). Elementy aktuariatu. Wrocław: Wyd. AE we Wrocławiu.

Ostasiewicz, S. (Ed.). (2000). Metody oceny i porządkowania ryzyka w ubezpieczeniach życiowych. Wrocław: Wyd. AE we Wrocławiu.

Panek, T. (Ed.). (2007). Statystyka społeczna. Warszawa: PWE.

Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2000 (n.d.). Retrieved from: http://populationpyramid.net/world/2050/.

Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100 (n.d.). Retrieved from: https://populationpyramid.net/world/1950/.

Rosset, E. (1975). Demografia Polski. Warszawa: PWN.

Urodzenia i zgony. Reprodukcja ludności (n.d.). Retrieved from: http://www.demografia.uni.lodz.pl/dlastud/urodzenia_zgony_reprodukcja.pdf.
Download

Published : 2016-12-31


Ostasiewicz, S., & Ledzianowski, J. (2016). Selected Determinants of Demographic Safety. Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development, 41(3), 365-372. https://doi.org/10.17306/JARD.2016.64

Stanisława Ostasiewicz  ostasiewicz@wp.pl
Wyższa Szkoła Oficerska Wojsk Lądowych imienia generała Tadeusza Kościuszki  Poland
Józef Ledzianowski 
Wyższa Szkoła Oficerska Wojsk Lądowych imienia generała Tadeusza Kościuszki  Poland


CitedBy Crossref
0

CitedBy Scopus
0

HTML tutorial

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

This journal permits and encourages authors to post items submitted to the journal on personal websites or institutional repositories both prior to and after publication, while providing bibliographic details that credit, if applicable, its publication in this journal.